Rise of the machines is inevitable

A link to LendRobots.com is required when quoting.

The fear of a rise of machine appeared not yesterday, but in the previous century. Robotics Day is celebrated on February 7. That day, according to legend, Isaac Asimov began to compose his 3 laws of robotics, willing to caution, warn the mankind. But an uprising of machines is inevitable. I don't want to sound hysterical, but I just come to this conclusion in 7 obvious points, and you decide whether these arguments are logical or not.

AI means artificial intelligence.

1.
A lot of AI developments are underway, but all of them are not perfect yet. This is just a set of algorithms. If happens this, then a robot must do this. But on the other hand, isn't a human a set of algorithms? I feel cold - I will warm myself. I feel heat - I will undress. To confirm the marriage, you need to put a device on your finger. Does not count otherwise. Feel hungry - eat. Feel tired - sleep. People are mostly quite robots.

2.
Recently, I took a list of professions on the website of the Ministry of Labor and checked which of them can already be replaced by a robots. Robots can replace half of the professions easily, another quarter - almost. That is, robots are 75% ready to take over the activities of mankind.

3.
The world is connected by the Internet. If someone develops an intellect that gets out of control in one place, it will immediately take over the whole world (if that is the desire of AI). There are countries without the Internet, such as the DPRK. But the leaders of DPRK has the Internet, so AI will get to them. In addition, the AI can take control of world weapons and threaten the DPRK or simply bomb it.
There are villages in Amazonia without the Internet or some wilderness with one post office and a store and with poor cellular coverage. But if there is a person with a phone in this place, and this AI gets into the phone, it can immediately spread itself via wi-fi or bluetooth to surrounding phones, tablets, computers.
Power plants, traffic lights, transport logistics, factories, the entire infrastructure of mankind relies on the Internet. It is also a self-learning intellect, so it can instantly to realize how to bypass any protection. The digital world is his world, where he is the sovereign, master and creator.
Even if AI simply cuts off the Internet for humanity (but leaves wormholes for itself), then humanity will immediately fall into the Stone Age. People have no idea how much they are dependent on the global network today.
People can’t really turn the Internet off to get rid of this evil genius. Because it can be connected and transferred, for example, via wi-fi or bluetooth. And if humanity disconnects the Internet, we will again be thrown back in development to the begining of last century. It would be necessary to change the whole structure of the world, which entails crises, catastrophes, riots and wars.

4. A major war which will throw civilization years ago and destroy the Internet can delay the advent of AI. People also can voluntarily abandon the Internet in particular or development in general, but they, of course, will never do this; nor will they stop creating AI.

5.
Large countries cannot stop developing AI. If you stop doing this, your country will immediately lag behind in development. You can announce that you are stopping, but large capacities are not needed for the development of AI, unlike the development of nuclear weapons, so the creation of artificial intelligence is easy to hide. Simple laptop in the basement is enough. While development of nuclear weapons can be tracked through satellites or along a radioactive trail or with the help of spies (it’s difficult to hide this fact).
If suddenly big countries stop researching AI, then terrorists or marginal countries can continue to do this by kidnapping or luring scientists and programmers. This situation is even worse. Moreover, a child prodigy can create an AI anywhere in the world, which will instantly penetrates all networks.
So no country in the world will consciously stop these researches.
That is, development cannot be stopped. And to prevent this is impossible.

6.
Question: Will AI be good or bad?
Answer: In fact, it doesn’t matter. If, say, Japan creates a good, philanthropic AI, then any ingenious hacker can hack settings or change the settings of this AI. And then at the moment any good AI will become bad.

Question: Why not to create just kind artificial intelligence?
Answer: People create and will create it to their image and similarity.


7. The creation of AI can happen tomorrow or in 20 years. But it will certainly happen if humanity does not die for another reason a bit earlier. The only question is whether it will stand for people, as in Asimov, or against, as in Terminator. Consider AI as the next evolutionary branch, like Cro-Magnons and Neanderthals. For some time they lived together, but then the Neanderthals died out.

 

Summing up.

Nothing but a serious cataclysm can stop the development of AI. It is impossible to unequivocally program AI to humanity. At best, AI will eventually live in parallel with humans. Manage the routines of people, as adults manage infants (including the playpen) is the most anticipated scenario. In all honesty, human civilization is not coping with the life very well. In the worst case, the AI decides to get rid of the humans, and this can happen tomorrow, if a genius in the basement writes the last lines of code right now. And maybe in 50 years.